Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000690 0.000783 0.000881 0.000991 0.001113 0.001242 0.001390
2025-11-30 0.000542 0.000669 0.000813 0.000986 0.001187 0.001413 0.001685
2025-12-07 0.000462 0.000605 0.000773 0.000984 0.001239 0.001534 0.001901
2025-12-14 0.000396 0.000547 0.000732 0.000971 0.001271 0.001629 0.002085
2025-12-21 0.000343 0.000497 0.000693 0.000955 0.001292 0.001705 0.002244
2025-12-28 0.000315 0.000476 0.000688 0.000979 0.001362 0.001841 0.002477
2026-01-04 0.000288 0.000454 0.000677 0.000993 0.001417 0.001958 0.002688
2026-01-11 0.000258 0.000423 0.000653 0.000985 0.001441 0.002034 0.002849
2026-01-18 0.000231 0.000395 0.000629 0.000975 0.001462 0.002104 0.003000
2026-01-25 0.000213 0.000378 0.000619 0.000984 0.001506 0.002206 0.003195
2026-02-01 0.000195 0.000359 0.000605 0.000985 0.001538 0.002292 0.003370
2026-02-08 0.000172 0.000329 0.000572 0.000957 0.001527 0.002316 0.003460
2026-02-15 0.000152 0.000303 0.000544 0.000934 0.001524 0.002352 0.003569
2026-02-22 0.000138 0.000286 0.000529 0.000930 0.001546 0.002423 0.003729
2026-03-01 0.000126 0.000271 0.000516 0.000928 0.001571 0.002499 0.003895
2026-03-08 0.000113 0.000254 0.000498 0.000916 0.001580 0.002551 0.004028
2026-03-15 0.000101 0.000237 0.000478 0.000900 0.001582 0.002593 0.004146
2026-03-22 0.000097 0.000234 0.000481 0.000923 0.001644 0.002724 0.004397
2026-03-29 0.000091 0.000228 0.000480 0.000936 0.001691 0.002833 0.004617
2026-04-05 0.000083 0.000215 0.000466 0.000928 0.001705 0.002892 0.004764
2026-04-12 0.000076 0.000204 0.000452 0.000920 0.001716 0.002946 0.004904
2026-04-19 0.000071 0.000197 0.000448 0.000928 0.001754 0.003044 0.005111
2026-04-26 0.000066 0.000189 0.000441 0.000929 0.001781 0.003123 0.005291